Model 1 model { temp.bar <- mean(temp[]) for (i in 1:N) { pres[i] ~ dnorm( mu[i], tau) mu[i] <- alpha + beta * (temp[i] - temp.bar) logpres[i] ~ dnorm(0, 0.001) } sigma <- 1/sqrt(tau) alpha ~ dnorm(0, 1.0E-6) beta ~ dnorm(0, 1.0E-6) tau ~ dgamma(0.001, 0.001) } list(N=31) inits list(alpha = 0, beta = 0, tau = 1)